Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.174213 0.196482 0.219951 0.246475 0.275563 0.306437 0.341626
2025-05-11 0.146991 0.177433 0.211259 0.251446 0.297687 0.349026 0.410126
2025-05-18 0.128176 0.164102 0.205875 0.257623 0.319568 0.390887 0.478727
2025-05-25 0.109767 0.148474 0.195404 0.255791 0.330672 0.419677 0.532598
2025-06-01 0.095776 0.136304 0.187361 0.255346 0.342324 0.448632 0.587003
2025-06-08 0.084160 0.125665 0.179861 0.254335 0.352361 0.475208 0.638783
2025-06-15 0.076926 0.119935 0.177920 0.259841 0.370363 0.511881 0.703999
2025-06-22 0.068913 0.112177 0.172381 0.259775 0.380526 0.538353 0.756582
2025-06-29 0.061965 0.105164 0.167128 0.259416 0.389809 0.563525 0.807814
2025-07-06 0.055907 0.098808 0.162173 0.258886 0.398439 0.587707 0.858072
2025-07-13 0.051613 0.094707 0.160090 0.262124 0.412172 0.618940 0.918435
2025-07-20 0.048709 0.092503 0.160593 0.268998 0.431137 0.657741 0.990011
2025-07-27 0.044573 0.087990 0.157360 0.270278 0.442330 0.686514 1.049337
2025-08-03 0.041861 0.085610 0.157262 0.276234 0.460530 0.725668 1.124241
2025-08-10 0.039606 0.083792 0.157886 0.283239 0.480448 0.767771 1.204374
2025-08-17 0.035905 0.078985 0.153197 0.281443 0.486737 0.790085 1.256584
2025-08-24 0.032833 0.075012 0.149578 0.281063 0.495021 0.815378 1.313561
2025-08-31 0.029961 0.071105 0.145748 0.280024 0.502068 0.838845 1.368258
2025-09-07 0.028428 0.069675 0.146144 0.286011 0.520394 0.879668 1.449463
2025-09-14 0.026155 0.066495 0.143138 0.285957 0.528849 0.905551 1.508834
2025-09-21 0.024045 0.063421 0.140080 0.285578 0.536636 0.930470 1.567177
2025-09-28 0.022102 0.060483 0.137042 0.285009 0.543973 0.954748 1.624953
2025-10-05 0.020801 0.058827 0.136327 0.288515 0.558183 0.990083 1.700360